Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.175821 0.207263 0.242411 0.284574 0.333741 0.389227 0.456561
2025-09-14 0.128850 0.169238 0.219172 0.285285 0.370354 0.475964 0.616857
2025-09-21 0.100441 0.143069 0.199891 0.280840 0.392833 0.541913 0.754983
2025-09-28 0.082332 0.125424 0.186543 0.279013 0.414754 0.605980 0.894951
2025-10-05 0.073351 0.118389 0.185761 0.293065 0.458717 0.703545 1.091313
2025-10-12 0.067134 0.114103 0.187779 0.310608 0.508872 0.814554 1.319126
2025-10-19 0.060225 0.107393 0.184707 0.319155 0.545258 0.907647 1.528844
2025-10-26 0.053086 0.099051 0.177580 0.319657 0.567942 0.980536 1.713091
2025-11-02 0.045559 0.088794 0.165653 0.310083 0.571892 1.022186 1.848780
2025-11-09 0.038539 0.078344 0.151867 0.295154 0.564169 1.042315 1.948381
2025-11-16 0.034519 0.072960 0.146521 0.294777 0.582239 1.108789 2.135993
2025-11-23 0.030147 0.066207 0.137648 0.286438 0.584153 1.145697 2.272521
2025-11-30 0.027346 0.062495 0.134685 0.290235 0.611746 1.236747 2.527807
2025-12-07 0.024510 0.058302 0.130251 0.290644 0.633069 1.318997 2.777278
2025-12-14 0.021637 0.053536 0.123905 0.286089 0.643466 1.380590 2.992203
2025-12-21 0.019366 0.049765 0.119145 0.284227 0.659138 1.454255 3.239516
2025-12-28 0.018500 0.049209 0.121493 0.298530 0.711726 1.610333 3.676894
2026-01-04 0.017912 0.049240 0.125188 0.316388 0.774365 1.794363 4.193887
2026-01-11 0.016803 0.047753 0.125045 0.325087 0.816874 1.938591 4.637888
2026-01-18 0.015356 0.045130 0.121738 0.325598 0.840012 2.041645 4.999422
2026-01-25 0.013566 0.041263 0.114731 0.315853 0.836989 2.084123 5.225067
2026-02-01 0.011752 0.037006 0.106086 0.300657 0.818413 2.087834 5.359013
2026-02-08 0.010769 0.035003 0.103182 0.300273 0.837593 2.184286 5.727482